![]() ![]() Conversely, a Bayes factor greater than 1 suggests that the observed data are more likely given the alternative hypothesis than the null. A Bayes factor less than 1 supports the null hypothesis by suggesting that the probability of the data given the null is higher than the probability of the data given the alternative hypothesis. ![]() ![]() A Bayes factor of 3, for example, means that the observed data are 3 times more likely under the alternative hypothesis than under the null hypothesis. ![]() Put another way, it is the likelihood of the alternative hypothesis relative to the null. The ratio of the probability of the observed data given the alternative hypothesis to the probability of the observed data given the null hypothesis. ![]()
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